Democrats' midterm advantage holds among likely voters — CNN Poll

Democrats' midterm advantage holds among likely voters — CNN Poll

But experts say House Republican leaders could have trouble mustering the 216 votes needed to pass the measure, given the prospect of widening the federal budget deficit already swollen by a round of tax cuts in December. "Republicans gave Congress nearly a full decade to extend these individual tax cuts before they expire", notes The Washington Post's Jeff Stein, "but the law's mediocre polling numbers and the hard election outlook for House Republicans have increased their sense of urgency".

But it's unclear whether this imbalance will hold - the Democrats' advantage over the GOP has swung from single digits to the teens this year.

The new poll marks the first time this election season CNN has looked at preferences among likely voters. So far, the GOP members of Congress have been unwilling to be a check on the actions of the president. Many analysts believe that if Americans' dissatisfaction with Trump and his party remain high, Democrats will flip the 23 seats they need to take control of the House, and possibly the two US Senate seats they need to control the upper chamber. Another poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University during roughly the same period, found that Democrats have a 14-point lead over their Republican opponents. Just 17% say it's not happening at all, as the White House has claimed in response to the op-ed (that figure rises to 27% among Republicans).

But in a speech in September, Trump's thinking on the midterms had shifted.

Former President Jimmy Carter is cautioning Democrats their path to defeating President Trump and the Republicans depends on independents and moderates.

All 14 of the districts are held by Republicans.

Rather says it's hard to make early predictions on the election outcome.

US Announces New North Korea Sanctions
The revenue raised by those companies helps the North Korean government skirt USA sanctions, which are meant to pressure the country to denuclearize.

Carter acknowledges he supported Democratic socialist Bernie Sanders over establishment favorite Hillary Clinton for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination.

As this year's primary season comes to a close, the slate of candidates chosen includes a diversity of backgrounds not often seen in American politics.

Despite the growth, national wage gains have been historically weak since the 2007-2009 recession and some political scientists have predicted that lackluster earnings growth could weigh on Republicans in November.

Nope, according to a vast majority of Americans.

The party of sitting presidents tends to lose seats in US congressional midterm elections and some analysts believe Trump's low national approval rating could drag on Republican candidates. The economic makeup of Congress is also important to Democrats, who say Congress should represent the country in terms of income and education (78% among Democrats to 59% among Republicans).

Among top Democrats, optimism has soared since Labor Day.

Majorities of the Democratic electorate are unsure, however, about Cory Booker (53%), Kamala Harris (55%) and Deval Patrick (84%). The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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